
AN UPCOMING meeting between US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping could be the next test for stocks that are clocking one record after the next.
Some of the chief executives who are attending the summit in Beijing are already seeing share prices of their companies pop. Nvidia Corp. is trading 2.5% higher premarket after co-founder Jensen Huang joined Trump on his visit to China as a last-minute addition. Shares of Micron Technology Inc. and Qualcomm Inc. are up 5.8% and 4.9%, respectively. Tesla Inc. shares are up 1.3% and Boeing Co. shares are up 0.7%.

Overall though, US investors seem largely unperturbed heading into the high-profile talks scheduled for Thursday and Friday. The S&P 500 Index is projected to move about 0.7% on each of these days, data compiled by Piper Sandler show. That’s less than the predicted move in Chinese Internet stocks over the same span or in the 500-member gauge following Nvidia’s earnings next week.
The sanguine outlook in the face of wider concerns about everything from geopolitics to the pace of inflation creates the risk of a surprise for markets trading at all-time highs. Discussions are expected to cover tariffs and the war in Iran, as well as trade in sectors such as aerospace, agricultural products, critical minerals and technology.
“With call volumes hovering near records, anything that isn’t positive for technology and AI shares related to trade relations between the US and China — or renewed Middle East tensions in Iran — would be perceived poorly by investors,” Danny Kirsch, head of options at Piper Sandler, said by phone. Any fresh trade-war threats may spark equity selling, he added.

Here are the sectors and stocks that Wall Street investors will monitor for any reaction to the summit.
Boeing and Its Suppliers
China is considering a deal for about 500 Boeing 737 Max aircraft, Bloomberg has reported. The planemaker’s Chief Executive Officer Kelly Ortberg, who is attending the summit, recently told analysts that Trump’s visit would be a “meaningful opportunity.”
“There is a high probability a Boeing order is announced,” Bloomberg Intelligence analyst George Ferguson said. “Boeing shares could get a bounce but the effect on Boeing’s income statement won’t occur for some time, if at all.”
An order for Boeing planes is effectively a purchase of General Electric Co. engines, Ferguson said. It would fuel demand for RTX Corp.’s Collins equipment business, he added.
Agriculture and Ag Equipment
Any commitment by China to buy US agricultural products would be a boon for American farmers, who are struggling in part because the Asian country avoided buying their goods during last year’s trade tensions. The likes of tractor maker Deere & Co. and seed provider Corteva Inc. could move the most, according to Oppenheimer analyst Kristen Owen.
Chinese officials are in discussion with their US counterparts to buy crops including corn, traders briefed on the matter have said. Soybeans are also part of the discussions, according to the traders.
There’s a risk that geopolitical tensions will scuttle any deal.
“If there’s positive momentum, or some positive outcome from the summit that helps lift commodities prices, that’s going to ease the burden on the farmer,” Owen said. “If there’s a negative surprise, that’s going to further pressure the farmer, but the incremental downside here is somewhat limited.”
Critical Minerals
China has used its control over rare earth metals as leverage, kicking off a US effort to develop its own supply chains. An agreement on flows of the metals is a risk to shares of MP Materials Corp., which has emerged as a US champion, JPMorgan analyst Bill Peterson told clients.
The Pentagon last year took an equity stake in the company, setting off a more than 100% rally. The US government has also taken a stake in rare earth contender USA Rare Earth Inc., as well as critical mineral players Lithium Americas Corp. and Trilogy Metals Inc.
Semiconductors
China’s access to artificial intelligence semiconductors may also be on the agenda. Nvidia has already secured a license to sell some less-advanced processors to customers there, a small step toward returning to the world’s largest market for chips.
The countries could strike a deal involving both rare earths and semiconductors, said Josh Lipsky, senior director of the Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center. Rather than breaking new ground, the nations could agree to fulfill promises they’ve already made to ship the products — something that may take time to become clear for investors.

Still, any movement could give the latest boost to US semiconductor stocks that are already on a record-shattering run.
“Nvidia has an assumption of zero China sales in their outlook,” said Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments. “If that were to materially change, that really changes the demand prospects for the entire chip industry.” –BLOOMBERG
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